Friday, September 19, 2008

Much better

Nate Silver's projections now produce an Obama win 62% of the time.
The recent improvement really has been showing up in pretty much all
the national numbers and in enough state polls to move the needle
significantly even since 10 days ago.

I never wrote about this, because the subject had become so painful
and it requires a link to Mickey Kaus, but in those dark hours when
McCain had a 5 point lead the Feiler Faster thesis was a great source
of comfort.

And what do you know, some combination of the Palin Effect (positive)
being in large part replaced by the Palin Effect (negative), the
financial collapse, and people simply coming to their senses, BO is
back on top. The only problem: still plenty of time for him to give it

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