Wednesday, October 29, 2008

I'm pretty sure it's going to be a beatdown

There it is. I'm on record. While I see the obvious utility of not expecting a huge victory, I just can't bring myself to seriously believe otherwise. What I should do is bet on McCain via Intrade, getting approximately 7:1 odds, so that if the unthinkable happens there will at least be some financial compensation for it.

But I'm going to save my money because I don't think there's even a 15% chance McCain's going to win. The only states in which McCain has a double digit lead are extremely red: Wyoming, Tennessee, South Carolina etc.. Obama has a double digit lead in swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon. And the battlegrounds include such decadent liberal enclaves as Indiana and North Carolina. The cake is baked.

It doesn't look like the Dems are going to get to 60 in the Senate. Al Franken has a tiny lead, if any. Ronnie Musgrove is in big trouble in Mississippi, which is understandable considering it's Mississippi, and Jim Martin is losing in Georgia, which is understandable considering he looks like a Fraggle.

3 comments:

Katherine said...

I just thought I'd leave a comment here because no one else does and it looks kind of lonely here.

I don't want you to think this is a pity comment but, I guess it kind of is.

Get better soon.

Doyle said...

You must have come here from Althouse. Via Instapundit, perhaps?

Large said...

I'll show you lonely, "Katherine," or whatever your real name really is ("Emily"). You have no idea how many comments Doyle rejects because they're not up to his muster. This is not a free-for-all. It's the electronic equivalent of an Algonquin Roundtable for Moonbats, and, frankly, I'm a skoche (sp?)insipidity seep into the conversation.